{"id":1294814,"date":"2025-09-20T10:06:01","date_gmt":"2025-09-20T07:06:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/migs-in-estonia-how-will-this-affect-the-course-of-the-war\/"},"modified":"2025-09-20T10:06:01","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T07:06:01","slug":"migs-in-estonia-how-will-this-affect-the-course-of-the-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/migs-in-estonia-how-will-this-affect-the-course-of-the-war\/","title":{"rendered":"MiGs in Estonia: how will this affect the course of the war?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Source: Author’s Facebook<\/a> page<\/em><\/p>\n

From Putin’s point of view, pressure on Europe is the main way to get Ukraine out of Donbas. And therefore provocations will be regular.<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. The end of the war in Putin’s logic involves the following points:
\u2013 Complete occupation of Donbas;
\u2013 Completion, at least in the main parameters, of the formation of Cheburnet, as the main, from the point of view of the Kremlin’s internal services, safeguard against further revolutions.
\u2013 Partial lifting of sanctions and the beginning of political dialogue with the West.<\/p>\n

2. The main obstacle, from the Kremlin’s point of view, to the seizure of Donbas is Europe. After all, it is the EU that is currently the main obstacle to lifting sanctions against the Russian Federation. But here we must understand that for Europe, which declares the primacy of values over everything else, the answers to two questions are important:<\/p>\n

\u2013 How will Europe’s long-term security be ensured?
\u2013 Parameters of further economic costs associated with new geopolitical realities (the EU does not want to be an eternal cash cow).<\/p>\n

3. I have already written: once the EU understands the answers to these questions, their view on Ukraine may begin to change. And Rossi believes that attacks on Poland or Estonia will accelerate this process (whether this is really so – the answer is not yet obvious).<\/p>\n\t\t