{"id":1298217,"date":"2025-09-27T12:05:57","date_gmt":"2025-09-27T09:05:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/occupation-for-generations-is-it-possible-to-win-a-war-diplomatically\/"},"modified":"2025-09-27T12:05:57","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T09:05:57","slug":"occupation-for-generations-is-it-possible-to-win-a-war-diplomatically","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/occupation-for-generations-is-it-possible-to-win-a-war-diplomatically\/","title":{"rendered":"Occupation for generations: is it possible to win a war diplomatically?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>The current authorities should speak honestly with Ukrainian society and finally explain that in the event of a ceasefire, a significant part of Ukraine will remain under Russian occupation de facto, for decades or even generations, and it will be impossible to return these territories through diplomatic means alone.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> This opinion <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=AbIHPyXKR4E\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was expressed<\/a> on the air of &#8220;Pryamoy&#8221; by Oleg Shamshur, a diplomat, former ambassador to the USA and France.<\/p>\n<p> &#8220;What we lack is an honest conversation between the authorities and society. And part of this honest conversation should be that in the event of a ceasefire, we must understand that this will lead to the de facto occupation of a significant part of Ukrainian territory by the Russian Federation. And this is not for one year, not for two, not for decades, perhaps for generations. And therefore I would not create illusions even that we will be able to return it by diplomatic means. Yes, we cannot win it back now, but to say that we will be able to do it using diplomatic means, even with some super diplomats, is very, very unlikely,&#8221; Shamshur noted.<\/p>\n<p> https:\/\/youtu.be\/AbIHPyXKR4E?t=90<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" >\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/preemptive-strike-why-is-the-kremlin-threatening-a-nuclear-bomb-again\/\">Moscow\u2019s Nuclear Tantrum: Threats Before the Fall<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p> In his opinion, the ceasefire will lead to the de facto occupation of a significant part of the territory of Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p> &#8220;A possible ceasefire, although it looks like a very, very distant prospect, if we proceed from the wording of the settlement advocated by both Trump and our European partners, will lead to the recognition of the de facto occupation of a significant part of Ukrainian territory by Russia and, accordingly, the end of this stage of the war and the discovery that the war will once again turn into a permanent European institution. That is, we need to look at things realistically and we need to honestly tell society about it,&#8221; the diplomat explains.<\/p>\n<p> In addition, he commented on the change in rhetoric of US President Donald Trump regarding the war in Ukraine, noting in particular that the American leader&#8217;s new statements should be treated with caution.<\/p>\n<p> &#8220;I would be very cautious about attempts to positively interpret Trump&#8217;s statements and draw some positive conclusions for us. We have already seen this, we have already been through this. We know about Trump&#8217;s emotional swings from one side to the other. We heard that Ukraine should cede territories. Now we have heard that Russia is a &#8220;paper tiger&#8221; and Ukraine can win the war. That is, we need to be very, very careful about this. This is pleasant and important&#8230; But for this, we need, first of all, to see that such statements are not for one day, not for one week, but that the US strategy has really changed,&#8221; &#8211; is convinced former ambassador to the US and France Oleg Shamshur.<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" data-right>\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/the-russian-economy-is-in-survival-mode-should-we-expect-a-quick-collapse\/\">The Russian economy is in survival mode: should we expect a quick collapse?<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p> Recall, <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/kreml-vyznav-zamorozhennia-perehovoriv-iz-ukrainoiu\/\">the Kremlin recently officially spoke about the impasse in the negotiations with Ukraine<\/a> . The press secretary of the Russian dictator, Dmitry Peskov, admitted that the negotiation process between Kyiv and Moscow is at a standstill. The Kremlin representative also tried to shift the responsibility to the West, accusing the leaders of European countries of supposedly \u201cobstructing peace efforts.\u201d<\/p>\n<p> Meanwhile, US President Donald <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/tramp-zaiavyv-pro-mozhlyvist-povernennia-ukrainoiu-vsikh-vtrachenykh-terytoriy-shcho-dlia-tsoho-potribno\/\">Trump said that Ukraine is capable of returning all the territories<\/a> it lost after 2014. This is possible only if the US and Europe adopt a number of military and financial decisions. Speaking at the UN General Assembly, Trump called Russia a \u201cpaper tiger\u201d and said that Ukraine is capable of returning all the occupied lands.<\/p>\n<p> Trump previously issued a sharp criticism of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, saying that despite massive attacks on Ukrainian cities, <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/niiakykh-zdobutkiv-tilky-vtraty-tramp-pro-viynu-kremlia\/\">Moscow is suffering reputational losses and making little progress on the front.<\/a><\/p>\n<p> Also follow <strong>\u201cPryamim\u201d<\/strong> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Facebook<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/prm_ua\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Twitter<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+rtV4dxYu2_cyNjVi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Telegram<\/a> , and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Instagram.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The current authorities should speak honestly with Ukrainian society and finally explain that in the event of a ceasefire, a significant part of Ukraine will remain under Russian occupation de facto, for decades or even generations, and it will be impossible to return these territories through diplomatic means alone. This opinion was expressed on the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":1285394,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76871,76872,76874],"class_list":["post-1298217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-2","category-news-feed","category-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1298217","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/57"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1298217"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1298217\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1285394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1298217"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1298217"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}