{"id":1299396,"date":"2025-09-30T10:45:15","date_gmt":"2025-09-30T07:45:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/trumps-change-in-rhetoric-regarding-the-war-in-ukraine-is-there-reason-for-optimism\/"},"modified":"2025-10-01T05:58:51","modified_gmt":"2025-10-01T02:58:51","slug":"trumps-change-in-rhetoric-regarding-the-war-in-ukraine-is-there-reason-for-optimism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/trumps-change-in-rhetoric-regarding-the-war-in-ukraine-is-there-reason-for-optimism\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s Rhetoric on Ukraine Shifts \u2014 But Does It Mean Anything?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Source: Author&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/portnikov\/posts\/pfbid06xk71XVCLLqjyrLu5tWGavyPPMoLxfvL53BYtehk3YJUX7mSyjwwWPwfN2MHXnssl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Facebook<\/a> page<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Donald Trump\u2019s softened tone toward Vladimir Putin and the war in Ukraine has sparked mixed reactions in Kyiv: cautious optimism tempered by deep concern. If Trump could so abruptly abandon his earlier stance on Putin, what guarantees are there that his latest rhetoric will not reverse just as suddenly?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"152\" data-end=\"726\">But in fact, there is a rational grain in Trump\u2019s approach. It is not just emotion\u2014it reflects a genuine misunderstanding of Putin\u2019s logic. The war has been going on for more than three and a half years, and Putin has still not achieved the goals he set for himself, goals that, according to his plan, should have been accomplished within weeks. Russia is facing serious economic problems and is losing military personnel every day. Yet Putin refuses to make the significant economic or political concessions that Trump has proposed, preferring instead to prolong the war.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"728\" data-end=\"1023\">From the outside, this appears irrational: the destruction not only of a neighboring country, but also of Russia itself. This is precisely the point Trump makes when he comments on Putin\u2019s actions on social media, in meetings with Zelenskyy or Macron, or in speeches at the UN General Assembly.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1025\" data-end=\"1574\">However, it is important to remember that despite a superficial similarity in style, Trump and Putin inhabit very different political worlds. Trump is the president of a country where the well-being of citizens is a central concern. In the Kremlin, by contrast, the interests of citizens carry little weight\u2014especially in a context where servicemen are paid for participation in the war and thus face their own stark choice: life or death. This dynamic seems to absolve both Putin and Russian society of any sense of remorse for the countless victims.<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" >\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/occupation-for-generations-is-it-possible-to-win-a-war-diplomatically\/\">Occupation for generations: is it possible to win a war diplomatically?<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p data-start=\"139\" data-end=\"436\">By contrast, for Trump, the economic well-being of voters comes first: his reelection prospects and political legacy depend on it. In Russia, there are no elections in the classical sense; Putin shows little concern for electoral legitimacy or succession \u2014 he appears to expect to rule indefinitely.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"438\" data-end=\"891\">How can these men understand each other\u2019s motives? To Putin, Trump \u2014 who shies from confrontation \u2014 looks weak and therefore ignorable. To Trump, Putin is an irrational autocrat who sacrifices his country\u2019s development and citizens\u2019 welfare. They can call and meet as much as they like, but agreement on fundamental issues is unlikely. That raises the crucial question: how can Trump realistically compel Putin to stop the war and sit down to negotiate?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"893\" data-end=\"1531\">First, it must be admitted: the West no longer possesses any quick, decisive economic instruments. Much of the Global South is prepared to help Russia circumvent sanctions. Additional penalties targeting refineries that process Russian oil may hurt, but their impact will be gradual, given the domestic demand in China and India. Still, existing sanctions, if reinforced with new mechanisms, can weaken the Russian economy. We should not fear the possibility of a deep collapse: from the ruins of a totalitarian, imperial structure, something more rational and sustainable might eventually emerge than the long-standing scarecrow of empire.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1533\" data-end=\"1922\">The second instrument is military aid to Ukraine. Kyiv must be enabled to strike strategic Russian targets \u2014 crippling refineries and military-industrial facilities \u2014 to threaten the centers of power and raise the Kremlin\u2019s cost of continuing the war. Could this provoke nuclear escalation? The risk exists: nuclear weapons are increasingly being treated as instruments of blackmail.<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" data-right>\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/the-russian-economy-is-in-survival-mode-should-we-expect-a-quick-collapse\/\">The Russian economy is in survival mode: should we expect a quick collapse?<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p data-start=\"142\" data-end=\"464\">The key role of the US in this context is deterrence. If Washington and Beijing send a clear signal about the inadmissibility of nuclear use and its consequences, Putin is likely to refrain. In short, the sooner Putin is deprived of his strategic capabilities, the lower the risk of escalation reaching a critical level.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"466\" data-end=\"912\">The technological dimension of the war cannot be ignored. Moscow\u2019s extensive use of drones provides not only a means to destroy Ukrainian infrastructure, but also a way to undermine Europe\u2019s economic potential \u2014 pressuring European nations to limit support for Kyiv. Here, much depends on the stance of the United States: if America stays on the sidelines, a hybrid war against Europe may appear inevitable and could escalate into open conflict.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"914\" data-end=\"1225\">Such a scenario would accelerate instability in Asia, where Beijing might exploit the moment to increase pressure on Taiwan or assert itself in disputes with the Philippines. At that point, the US could no longer remain merely an observer \u2014 the conflict could expand to a scale that threatens global security.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1227\" data-end=\"1701\">The conclusion is clear: the sooner the United States resumes its role as a global leader and takes responsibility for deterring aggression, the more likely it is that a major conflict can be avoided. The longer Donald Trump refrains from assuming this role, the greater the risk of the world sliding toward full-scale war. In today\u2019s reality, shaped by technology and rapid military developments, the US risks becoming not just an arbiter but a full-fledged battlefield.<\/p>\n<p>Also, follow <strong>\u201cPryamyi\u201d<\/strong> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Facebook<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/prm_ua\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Twitter<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+rtV4dxYu2_cyNjVi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Telegram<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Instagram.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 Materials published in the \u201cOPINIONS\u201d section reflect the opinion of the author of the publication, who bears full responsibility for the accuracy of the information.<\/em><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 The editorial staff of prm.ua may not share the opinions expressed in the author&#8217;s material.<\/em><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 The owner of the webpage in the \u201cOPINIONS\u201d section is the author of the publication.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source: Author&#8217;s Facebook page Donald Trump\u2019s softened tone toward Vladimir Putin and the war in Ukraine has sparked mixed reactions in Kyiv: cautious optimism tempered by deep concern. If Trump could so abruptly abandon his earlier stance on Putin, what guarantees are there that his latest rhetoric will not reverse just as suddenly? But in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":1299391,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76871,76872,76893],"class_list":["post-1299396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-2","category-news-feed","category-thoughts"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1299396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/57"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1299396"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1299396\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1299897,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1299396\/revisions\/1299897"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1299391"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1299396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1299396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}