{"id":1329719,"date":"2025-12-07T10:35:55","date_gmt":"2025-12-07T08:35:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/who-in-ukraine-thinks-about-the-day-after-tomorrow-and-why-is-it-almost-no-one\/"},"modified":"2025-12-08T04:25:36","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T02:25:36","slug":"who-in-ukraine-thinks-about-the-day-after-tomorrow-and-why-is-it-almost-no-one","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/who-in-ukraine-thinks-about-the-day-after-tomorrow-and-why-is-it-almost-no-one\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine\u2019s \u2018Day After Tomorrow\u2019: Who Cares, Anyway?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Source: Author&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/permalink.php?story_fbid=pfbid02Y2axbi3h86DELSJX5J6fo8ANjFg7LdpMXiNHzQ1wPiCNAXcaDYanNEmP9APwsqSel&amp;id=61560822014814\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Facebook<\/a> page<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cWe have learned to say \u2018after the victory\u2019 with the same ease we once said \u2018after the New Year\u2019 or \u2018after the elections.\u2019 It has become a convenient temporal shelf, a place to store all that is complex and unwelcome: real reforms, changing the rules of the game, discussions about power and responsibility, and rebuilding the state.<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"85\" data-end=\"518\">The war has only legitimized this habit. Now it has an alibi: \u201cNow is not the time.\u201d We live on the horizon of the next air raid alert, thinking only of the next morning \u2014 making it until the evening, surviving another strike, closing the collection, pushing for the next purchase, agreeing on another tranche. This is the circulation of life in a country in shock \u2014 and there is nothing shameful in that. This is how they survive.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"520\" data-end=\"797\">The problem is different: a state that survives but does not plan beyond tomorrow can very easily awaken in someone else\u2019s future. And a society accustomed to living only \u201cuntil morning\u201d will sooner or later find itself facing a reality someone else has quietly drawn for it.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"799\" data-end=\"1032\">If we ask honestly: who in Ukraine today thinks professionally about the country not in terms of the budget year, grant cycle, or election calendar, but within a horizon of ten to fifteen years, the answer is disappointingly short.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1034\" data-end=\"1409\">The government, which should function as the main think tank, operates like a dispatcher on an emergency train: extinguishing crises, patching holes, filling cracks with the phrase \u201ctemporarily, for the duration of martial law.\u201d Its \u201cstrategies\u201d are either translations from English presentation templates or sets of technically correct formulations, lacking political will.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1411\" data-end=\"1656\">Political parties, which in a normal state compete with long-term visions, are preoccupied with simpler matters here: surviving until the next elections, not completely falling out with the current government, and staying in the good graces of their sponsors.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1658\" data-end=\"1966\">\u201cMost think tanks concentrate on practical but narrowly defined issues: tax reforms, sectoral changes, and regulatory risk assessments. They work within existing frameworks, meticulously refining what is already in place. Their \u2018strategies\u2019 serve to maintain the current system, rather than to propose ways to transform it.\u201d<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" >\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/scandal-on-bankova-how-yermak-became-a-danger-to-zelensky\/\">When the Gatekeeper Becomes the Risk: Yermak\u2019s Shadow Over Zelensky<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p data-start=\"74\" data-end=\"338\">The media lives under the dictatorship of the newsfeed: \u201cwhat happened today,\u201d \u201cwhat was said yesterday,\u201d \u201cwhat scandal just broke.\u201d At this pace, there is no room for discussions that do not provide instant clicks, but require half an hour of focused attention.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"340\" data-end=\"530\">\u201cThe academic community either keeps a safe distance or gets lost in such abstract theorizing that real-life realities \u2014 dugouts, border queues, or investigative offices \u2014 are completely out of sight.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"532\" data-end=\"562\">It is worth saying directly:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"564\" data-end=\"747\">In Ukraine today, there is no institution \u2014 neither within the government, parliament, nor universities \u2014 whose formal or informal mandate is to \u201cthink about Ukraine after the war.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"749\" data-end=\"1107\">There are departments of strategic planning, development concepts until 2030, and presentations filled with beautiful diagrams. But these are not workshops for the future; they are workshops in legal self-deception. They adjust \u201cstrategies\u201d to already approved political interests and short-term horizons, not to the real challenges of the next decade.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1109\" data-end=\"1236\">We have a defence headquarters. But there is no headquarters for the future. And this is a threat no less real than missiles.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1238\" data-end=\"1308\">To understand the scale, consider simple but rarely asked questions:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1310\" data-end=\"1605\">Who today models, what will happen to the legitimacy of the government in two to three years without national elections? Who calculates the consequences of a country getting used to living under a regime where all key decisions are made behind closed doors without public political competition?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1607\" data-end=\"1867\">\u201cWho is planning for scenarios in which millions of veterans return to cities without jobs, defined roles, or adequate support \u2014 ensuring this does not turn into a Ukrainian version of the post-Afghan syndrome, with all its political and criminal consequences?\u201d<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" data-right>\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/the-portal-to-hell-is-opening-is-europe-ready-for-real-resistance\/\">The portal to hell is opening: is Europe ready for real resistance?<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p data-start=\"74\" data-end=\"421\">Who is thinking about what will happen when Western fatigue from our war arrives before our physical capacity to fight does? Not in the moralizing tone of \u201cthey have no right to get tired,\u201d but in the language of cold, strategic planning: what is being done now to prevent a scenario in which \u201cwe are still standing, but the resources are gone\u201d?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"423\" data-end=\"662\">Who is projecting how the balance of power within the country will shift when the de facto monopoly on violence becomes blurred among the army, various security agencies, volunteer formations, private security firms, and criminal groups?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"664\" data-end=\"894\">Who is honestly mapping out a scenario in which the old political elites return with new slogans and \u201cveteran decor,\u201d while the new elites come with a single program: revenge against everyone who held power during the great war?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"896\" data-end=\"1245\">A true think tank is not an organization that merely calculates indices and produces brochures. It is an intellectual instrument that anticipates the structure of threats and opportunities on the horizon of the day after tomorrow, offering uncomfortable yet honest solutions that first provoke politicians\u2019 indignation and then compel them to act.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1247\" data-end=\"1675\">We do not have such an instrument. Some individuals work like isolated \u201csink tanks\u201d: military experts writing about the doctrine of the future army; economists discussing the war economy as a new norm rather than an exception; lawyers publicly ready to dismantle entire chains of post-Soviet institutions instead of beautifying them; urban planners who see cities not as concrete cemeteries of grants, but as living organisms.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1677\" data-end=\"1831\">But these are scattered fires. They provide warmth, but no map. They do not see one another, and they are not woven into a single operational framework.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1833\" data-end=\"1988\">Meanwhile, the future is not sitting on a bench, waiting for us to be ready. It is slowly assembled from today\u2019s decisions \u2014 made, postponed, or ignored.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1990\" data-end=\"2284\">Every \u201ctemporary\u201d legal regime, every personnel appointment \u201cuntil the end of martial law,\u201d every tacit consent to the concentration of power is not merely a reaction to the present. These are the bricks of the state in which we will find ourselves when, pompously, we say: \u201cThe war is over.\u201d<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" >\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/zaluzhny-what-is-the-goal-of-the-government\/\">Zaluzhny: What Exactly Is the Government\u2019s Goal?<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p data-start=\"62\" data-end=\"121\">It is important to highlight another uncomfortable truth.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"123\" data-end=\"226\">A country that does not think about the day after tomorrow ends up living by someone else\u2019s calendar.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"228\" data-end=\"454\">\u201cIts future does not resemble its own plan, but takes the form of a series of \u2018solution packages\u2019 decided elsewhere without its input: IMF memoranda, backroom deals among major players, and the secret machinations of elites.\u201d<br \/>\nWithout our day after tomorrow, we are guaranteed to get:<br \/>\n\u2013 the revenge of old practices under new slogans;<br \/>\n\u2013 formal democracy without real subjectivity, when there are elections, but decisions are still made outside the public space;<br \/>\n\u2013 a veteran protest without political representation, which is easy to marginalize or use as a decoration;<br \/>\n\u2013 a power imbalance, when weapons and legitimacy end up in different hands.<\/p>\n<p>This means that we can easily win the war \u2013 and lose the peace. Not because we are weak. But because we failed to imagine it in time.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHence the need for more than just \u2018another initiative\u2019 or \u2018another project\u2019 \u2014 we need a different mindset. A space where it is not only permissible but necessary to ask not \u2018how will we survive until the end of the year,\u2019 but \u2018what country will we wake up to in five years \u2014 and who will no longer be part of it?\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p>I call it &#8220;The Day After Tomorrow.&#8221; Not as a brand, not as a website or a studio, but as a mode of thinking. As an attitude: every big topic we discuss today \u2013 mobilization, courts, security forces, education, media, local government \u2013 should be scrolled not only in the format of &#8220;what to do now&#8221;, but in the format of &#8220;what this will trigger the day after victory and in the next decade.&#8221;<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" data-right>\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/negotiations-in-the-kremlin-failed-putin-does-not-change-plans-regarding-ukraine\/\">Negotiations in the Kremlin failed: Putin does not change plans regarding Ukraine<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p>&#8220;The Day After Tomorrow&#8221; as a project for me is a public testing laboratory. When we don&#8217;t just say &#8220;we need a war economy,&#8221; but try to live a specific year in such an economy. Not just &#8220;we need to reform the courts,&#8221; but ask: what kind of justice system can withstand so many crimes and with so many traumatized people? Not just &#8220;veterans are the pillar of the state,&#8221; but &#8220;how to prevent veterans from turning into political mercenaries?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>These could be media formats, open discussions, closed working groups, texts in which we allow ourselves to do what official politics is so afraid of: to think ahead and not tailor conclusions to someone&#8217;s situational benefit.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"140\" data-end=\"542\">My reasoning is not a claim to a monopoly on such thinking. On the contrary, it is a test \u2014 a way to see whether there are enough people in the country who intuitively sense the same thing: that fighting without any idea of the day after tomorrow is a risky choice; that heroism at the front, without intellectual work in the rear, can end in scenarios well known from the histories of other countries.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"544\" data-end=\"825\">If you have read this far and still feel a slight anxiety mixed with a quiet motivation, then you are probably one of the people I am writing for. And I ask you: do we have a critical mass of people ready not only to fight for the future, but to assume responsibility for it today?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"827\" data-end=\"1154\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">If the answer is yes, Ukraine still has its day after tomorrow. If not, we will be used \u2014 bravely and skilfully \u2014 in someone else\u2019s script. As we can see, such scripts have been drafted for us in Moscow and, more recently, in Washington. But the one I am speaking about must be written in Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine-Rus.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"228\" data-end=\"454\">\n<p>Also, follow <strong>\u201cPryamyi\u201d<\/strong> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Facebook<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/prm_ua\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+rtV4dxYu2_cyNjVi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Telegram<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Instagram<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 Materials published in the \u201cOPINIONS\u201d section reflect the opinion of the author of the publication, who bears full responsibility for the accuracy of the information.<\/em><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 The editorial staff of prm.ua may not share the opinions expressed in the author&#8217;s material.<\/em><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 The owner of the webpage in the \u201cOPINIONS\u201d section is the author of the publication.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source: Author&#8217;s Facebook page \u201cWe have learned to say \u2018after the victory\u2019 with the same ease we once said \u2018after the New Year\u2019 or \u2018after the elections.\u2019 It has become a convenient temporal shelf, a place to store all that is complex and unwelcome: real reforms, changing the rules of the game, discussions about power [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":1329714,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76871,76872,76893],"class_list":["post-1329719","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-2","category-news-feed","category-thoughts"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1329719","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/57"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1329719"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1329719\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1329980,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1329719\/revisions\/1329980"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1329714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1329719"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1329719"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}