{"id":1356451,"date":"2026-02-11T11:50:26","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T09:50:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/russia-is-preparing-an-attack-on-europe-a-likely-scenario\/"},"modified":"2026-02-12T04:11:21","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T02:11:21","slug":"russia-is-preparing-an-attack-on-europe-a-likely-scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/russia-is-preparing-an-attack-on-europe-a-likely-scenario\/","title":{"rendered":"If Russia Moves West: A Plausible Attack Scenario"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Source: Author&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/denys.popovych.3\/posts\/pfbid035dw82b5DYf1vvoc1WhMTdbieVVbRnTrS9txP923T4MfyrkSJxyuvHWpXTnPwY7YJl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Facebook<\/a> page<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>A report by the Munich Security Conference warns that Russia may be preparing for a potential confrontation with European countries. Moscow has allocated nearly 8% of its GDP\u2014about 40% of the federal budget\u2014to military spending, while persistent nuclear threats underscore the risk that the war could extend beyond Ukraine\u2019s borders.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In particular, Russia could rebuild its forces for a \u201cregional war\u201d in the Baltic region within two years of a possible ceasefire in Ukraine\u2014and for a local war against one of its neighbors\u2014within six months.<\/p>\n<p>It is also noted that a ceasefire in Ukraine could only increase the risk of an attack on NATO countries, since it is Ukraine that is currently holding back Russian forces.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the US distanced itself from European security affairs.<\/p>\n<p>Already at such a serious venue as the Munich Security Conference, it is being acknowledged what your humble servant wrote about a year ago: Russia is preparing an attack on Europe.<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" >\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/peace-agreement-deadline-ten-questions-for-the-president-of-ukraine\/\">Peace Agreement Deadline: 10 Key Questions for Ukraine\u2019s President<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p>The main trump card of the Russians is their advanced combat experience. This experience involves the widespread use of UAVs. In this regard, the estimate of 6 months, during which Russia can attack any of its neighbors, in my opinion, is overly optimistic.<\/p>\n<p>Such an attack could happen tomorrow. Think of the two dozen drones that Russia sent to Poland on September 10 last year. Poland shot down only a few of these devices, and most of them went down only because they ran out of fuel.<\/p>\n<p>Now imagine 2,000 strike drones attacking a small European country. In a matter of hours, they would destroy major air defense assets and hit important military facilities and decision-making centers.<\/p>\n<p>Russia&#8217;s neighbors have no defense against such an attack. Moscow will only have to dictate its will to the defeated country.<\/p>\n<p>Also, follow <strong>\u201cPryamyi\u201d<\/strong> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Facebook<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/prm_ua\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">X<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+rtV4dxYu2_cyNjVi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Telegram<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Instagram.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 Materials published in the \u201cOPINIONS\u201d section reflect the opinion of the author of the publication, who bears full responsibility for the accuracy of the information.<\/em><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 The editorial staff of prm.ua may not share the opinions expressed in the author&#8217;s material.<\/em><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>\u2022 The owner of the webpage in the \u201cOPINIONS\u201d section is the author of the publication.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source: Author&#8217;s Facebook page A report by the Munich Security Conference warns that Russia may be preparing for a potential confrontation with European countries. Moscow has allocated nearly 8% of its GDP\u2014about 40% of the federal budget\u2014to military spending, while persistent nuclear threats underscore the risk that the war could extend beyond Ukraine\u2019s borders. In [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":1356442,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76871,76872,76893],"class_list":["post-1356451","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-2","category-news-feed","category-thoughts"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1356451","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/57"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1356451"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1356451\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1356755,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1356451\/revisions\/1356755"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1356442"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1356451"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1356451"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}