{"id":1396011,"date":"2026-05-21T23:00:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T20:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/the-world-market-is-preparing-for-prolonged-oil-price-volatility-media\/"},"modified":"2026-05-21T23:00:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T20:00:13","slug":"the-world-market-is-preparing-for-prolonged-oil-price-volatility-media","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/the-world-market-is-preparing-for-prolonged-oil-price-volatility-media\/","title":{"rendered":"The world market is preparing for prolonged oil price volatility \u2013 media"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"1194\" data-end=\"1349\"><strong>The protracted conflict between the US and Iran continues to affect the global energy market, and market participants expect oil prices to remain high for a long time.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1351\" data-end=\"1402\"> This <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-05-21\/oil-near-100-emerges-as-consensus-for-next-year-with-iran-war\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">is stated<\/a> in a Bloomberg Intelligence survey.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1404\" data-end=\"1550\"> Most respondents predict that the average price of Brent crude oil over the next 12 months will be between $81-100 per barrel.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1552\" data-end=\"1708\"> Almost two-thirds of market participants also expect an additional &#8220;risk premium&#8221; of $5-15 per barrel to remain due to geopolitical instability.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1710\" data-end=\"1880\"> Bloomberg Intelligence analysts note that the market does not yet predict a complete collapse of the current pricing model, but considers the current instability to be long-term.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1882\" data-end=\"1999\"> One of the key risk factors remains the Strait of Hormuz &#8211; one of the world&#8217;s main oil supply routes.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2001\" data-end=\"2147\"> Due to the threat of attacks and restrictions on shipping, global energy supplies have been significantly reduced, and the market has faced the risk of a new wave of inflation.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2149\" data-end=\"2264\"> According to market participants, possible disruptions could lead to a loss of 3 to 7 million barrels of oil per day.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2266\" data-end=\"2379\"> Some experts also believe that flows through the Strait of Hormuz will remain below normal for a long time to come.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2381\" data-end=\"2514\"> At the same time, traders are increasingly turning to risk insurance strategies and reducing bets on further rapid price growth.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2516\" data-end=\"2737\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"> Separately, further increases in shale oil production are forecast in the United States. According to estimates by the US Energy Information Administration, production in the country could increase to a record 14.1 million barrels per day in 2027.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2516\" data-end=\"2737\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"> It was previously reported that <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/ssha-ta-iran-hotuiut-memorandum-pro-zavershennia-viyny-shcho-vidomo\/\">the US and Iran may soon agree on a basic agreement<\/a> that should stop tensions in the region and pave the way for full-fledged negotiations on the nuclear program.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1766\" data-end=\"1887\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"> Recall, US Secretary of State Marco <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/operatsiia-proty-iranu-zavershena-rubio-ozvuchyv-novyy-plan-ssha\/\">Rubio announced the completion of the military operation against Iran called Epic Fury, which had been ongoing since February.<\/a> <\/p>\n<div class=\"full-post__content font-rules\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"full-post__content font-rules\">\n<p> Also follow <strong>\u201cPryamim\u201d<\/strong> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Facebook<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/prm_ua\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">X<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+rtV4dxYu2_cyNjVi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Telegram<\/a> , and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Instagram.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The protracted conflict between the US and Iran continues to affect the global energy market, and market participants expect oil prices to remain high for a long time. This is stated in a Bloomberg Intelligence survey. Most respondents predict that the average price of Brent crude oil over the next 12 months will be between [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":1312411,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76870,76871,76872,76892],"class_list":["post-1396011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world","category-news-2","category-news-feed","category-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1396011","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/66"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1396011"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1396011\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1312411"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1396011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1396011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}