{"id":1396380,"date":"2026-05-22T17:20:38","date_gmt":"2026-05-22T14:20:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/russia-is-preparing-100-000-troops-for-an-offensive-from-the-territory-of-belarus-details\/"},"modified":"2026-05-23T06:53:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T03:53:26","slug":"russia-is-preparing-100-000-troops-for-an-offensive-from-the-territory-of-belarus-details","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/russia-is-preparing-100-000-troops-for-an-offensive-from-the-territory-of-belarus-details\/","title":{"rendered":"100,000 Russian Troops Mass Near Belarus Border as New Offensive Threat Looms"},"content":{"rendered":"

Russia is weighing several scenarios for a new offensive in the Chernihiv\u2013Kyiv direction that could begin no earlier than fall 2026. To support the operation, the Kremlin is reportedly preparing a new wave of mobilization of up to 100,000 troops.<\/strong><\/p>\n

This was reported by RBC-Ukraine<\/a>, citing sources in the Defense Forces of Ukraine.<\/p>\n

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that Russia is considering 5 scenarios for expanding the war through northern Ukraine<\/strong>. The plans could include using Belarusian territory or taking action directly from the Bryansk region.<\/p>\n

Analysts consider the most realistic scenario to be an attempt to create a so-called buffer zone in the Chernihiv region, 10-20 kilometers deep. The least likely scenario is an offensive toward Kyiv.<\/p>\n

Zelensky also said that Putin is trying to convince Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko to join new aggressive operations. Lukashenko, in turn, said that Minsk is not going to get involved in the war in Ukraine.<\/p>\n

Currently, the threat level in the Chernihiv-Kyiv direction remains low<\/strong>. Only 4 battalions of the Belarusian army are deployed on the Belarusian side\u2014about 1,900 soldiers, who are constantly rotated. There are not enough Russian troops to carry out offensive operations either from Belarus or from the Bryansk region.<\/p>\n

For the upcoming operation on the northern borders, the Kremlin plans to conduct a new wave of mobilization of 100,000 people, modeled after the fall of 2022. This will supplement the 409,000 military personnel that Moscow plans to recruit under contract this year.<\/p>\n

“The Russian General Staff is now actively calculating and planning offensive actions from the north. If the enemy implements such plans, the front will increase,” said Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleksandr Syrsky.<\/p>\n

The Ukrainian Defense Forces are monitoring several factors that may indicate Russia is preparing for an offensive in the north<\/strong>:<\/p>\n

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