{"id":1399915,"date":"2026-06-01T12:00:27","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T09:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/we-are-not-russians-are-belarusians-ready-for-a-guerrilla-war-against-the-regime\/"},"modified":"2026-06-01T12:00:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T09:00:27","slug":"we-are-not-russians-are-belarusians-ready-for-a-guerrilla-war-against-the-regime","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/we-are-not-russians-are-belarusians-ready-for-a-guerrilla-war-against-the-regime\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cWe are not Russians\u201d: are Belarusians ready for a guerrilla war against the regime?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Russia&#8217;s full-scale aggression has catalyzed nation-building processes in Belarus, where citizens are increasingly distancing themselves from the Kremlin&#8217;s imperial ambitions. At the same time, the successful struggle of Ukrainians against the Russian invasion inspires Belarusians to continue the guerrilla struggle and wait for the right moment for change.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> This <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=KX0xS7pMJIY\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was stated by<\/a> Belarusian public figure and media analyst Franak Vyachorka in a comment to &#8220;Pryamo&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p> He reported that the level of support for the direct entry of the Belarusian army into the conflict remains extremely low &#8211; only about 6% of the population.<\/p>\n<p> &#8220;Belarusians now understand that we are not Russia&#8230; Now Belarusians say: &#8216;We are not Russian.&#8217; And for us, it was this war that catalyzed the nation-building process in our country,&#8221; said an advisor to Belarusian opposition leader Svitlana Tikhanovskaya.<\/p>\n<p> https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=KX0xS7pMJIY&#038;t=317s<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" >\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/dictators-fears-why-zelensky-provokes-lukashenko\/\">Dictator&#8217;s fears: why Zelensky provokes Lukashenko<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p> According to him, even within the nomenklatura and among the younger generation of officers, there are strong pro-European sentiments. Although the KGB and Lukashenko&#8217;s entourage remain pro-Russian, a significant part of mid-level officials expect changes.<\/p>\n<p> Meanwhile, Vyachorka reports, Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko is trying to avoid direct involvement of his troops in hostilities against Ukraine for fear of losing control of his own country. The journalist explains that the memory of the mass protests of 2020 is forcing the regime to act cautiously, as an order to attack could provoke an instant uprising.<\/p>\n<p> &#8220;Lukashenko does not want this&#8230; because it will lead to a revolt, both among the nomenklatura and security forces, and the military, and among society,&#8221; Vyachorka emphasized.<\/p>\n<p> At the same time, he adds, despite pressure from Putin, Belarusian society has formed a consensus on non-interference. Although the regime continues to supply shells and allow Russian drone flights, this does not change the position of the people.<\/p>\n<p> In addition, the public figure emphasizes that Ukraine&#8217;s successful repulsion of a full-scale invasion in 2022 inspired Belarusians to continue the guerrilla struggle and wait for the right moment for change.<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" data-right>\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/northern-threat-is-russia-really-preparing-a-new-offensive-from-belarus\/\">Northern threat: is Russia really preparing a new offensive from Belarus?<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p> As is known, <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/bilorus-stala-mitsnym-stovpom-rosiyskoi-viyskovoi-ekonomiky-iak-lukashenko-dopomahaie-putinu\/\">Belarus has become one of the key elements<\/a> supporting the Russian military machine in the war against Ukraine. According to Associated Press sources, Belarusian enterprises produce components for the Russian military-industrial complex, and Minsk provides Russia with infrastructural and military support.<\/p>\n<p> According to the military, <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/rosiia-hotuie-100-tysiach-viyskovykh-dlia-nastupu-z-terytorii-bilorusi-detali\/\">Russia is considering several scenarios<\/a> for new offensive operations in the Chernihiv-Kyiv direction, which may begin no earlier than the fall of 2026. To this end, the Kremlin plans to conduct a new wave of mobilization of 100,000 people.<\/p>\n<p> Meanwhile <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/rf-posylyla-vplyv-na-bilorus-pislia-iadernykh-navchan-isw\/\">, Russia and Belarus completed joint nuclear exercises<\/a> on May 21, which included ammunition deliveries, missile launches, and missile transfers. The Institute for the Study of War believes this demonstrates Russia\u2019s influence over Belarus and the country\u2019s potential involvement in future Russian military operations.<\/p>\n<p> Earlier, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky held a meeting with the heads of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the General Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, the Central Military District of the Ukrainian SSR, and the Security Service of Ukraine regarding the security situation and Russia&#8217;s actions. They discussed Russia&#8217;s attempts <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/rosiia-khoche-zatiahnuty-bilorus-u-viynu-proty-ukrainy-iaki-dilianky-pid-zahrozoiu\/\">to increase Belarus&#8217; involvement<\/a> in the war against Ukraine and possible threats in certain areas. The head of state also previously stated about <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/ukraina-zafiksuvala-spetsyfichnu-aktyvnist-bilorusi-shcho-vidomo-pro-sytuatsiiu-na-prykordonni\/\">&#8220;specific activity&#8221; on the part of Belarus<\/a> on sections of the Ukrainian border.<\/p>\n<p> Also follow <strong>\u201cPryamim\u201d<\/strong> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Facebook<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/prm_ua\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">X<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+rtV4dxYu2_cyNjVi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Telegram<\/a> , and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Instagram.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Russia&#8217;s full-scale aggression has catalyzed nation-building processes in Belarus, where citizens are increasingly distancing themselves from the Kremlin&#8217;s imperial ambitions. At the same time, the successful struggle of Ukrainians against the Russian invasion inspires Belarusians to continue the guerrilla struggle and wait for the right moment for change. This was stated by Belarusian public figure [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":1191787,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76870,76871,76872],"class_list":["post-1399915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world","category-news-2","category-news-feed"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1399915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/57"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1399915"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1399915\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1191787"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1399915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1399915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}