{"id":1400928,"date":"2026-06-03T12:22:48","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T09:22:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/there-will-be-no-quick-peace-portnikov-gave-a-disappointing-forecast\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T12:22:48","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T09:22:48","slug":"there-will-be-no-quick-peace-portnikov-gave-a-disappointing-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/there-will-be-no-quick-peace-portnikov-gave-a-disappointing-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cThere will be no quick peace\u201d: Portnikov gave a disappointing forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>The end of the war depends solely on the Kremlin&#8217;s position, so hopes for quick US mediation currently have no real basis due to the lack of tools to put pressure on Moscow. Therefore, Ukrainians should prepare for a long confrontation and constant shelling.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> This opinion <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Vwwcy2m87O0&#038;t\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was expressed by<\/a> Ukrainian journalist and publicist Vitaliy Portnikov in an interview with the &#8220;Pryamiy&#8221; TV channel.<\/p>\n<p> &#8220;Any steps towards ending the Russian-Ukrainian war are not a matter for Kyiv, but for Moscow,&#8221; Portnikov noted during a discussion of the prospects for the peace process.<\/p>\n<p> The journalist added that despite calls to stop the heated phase, Moscow is putting forward conditions that effectively mean a refusal to negotiate. At the same time, US resources in the field of air defense are being exhausted due to the escalation in the Middle East. This creates a situation where Trump has practically nothing to offer the parties to achieve a real compromise in the near future, &#8211; explains Portnikov.<\/p>\n<p> https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Vwwcy2m87O0&#038;t=110s<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" >\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/ukrainians-do-not-believe-in-a-real-truce-four-scenarios-for-the-development-of-events\/\">Ukraine Doesn&#8217;t Trust the Truce: Four Scenarios for What Comes Next<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p> In addition, according to him, the American side is forced to take care of the stability of energy prices, which limits Washington&#8217;s sanctions capabilities.<\/p>\n<p> Therefore, Portnikov believes that there are no objective prerequisites for a quick cessation of hostilities at the moment. He predicts a scenario in which active confrontation will transform into a prolonged exchange of remote strikes. The main goal of such attacks will remain the destruction of the economic and military potential of both countries.<\/p>\n<p> &#8220;I do not rule out that such strikes will become commonplace in the Russian-Ukrainian war in the coming years without changing the front line,&#8221; the studio guest noted.<\/p>\n<p> In his opinion, the only factor that could make the Russian leadership think about pausing is critical damage to their oil refineries and ports.<\/p>\n<p> Portnikov drew a parallel with the Iran-Iraq conflict, where resource depletion led to a shaky ceasefire. However, he stressed that even with a ceasefire, hatred between the peoples would persist for decades, and the lull would only be used to accumulate new forces.<\/p>\n\t\t<aside class=\"shortcode-also\" data-title=\"Read also\" data-right>\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/remote-strikes-instead-of-invasion-how-russia-is-preparing-for-war-with-nato\/\">Remote strikes instead of invasion: how Russia is preparing for war with NATO<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\n<p> As &#8220;Pryamy&#8221; reported, Ukrainian politicians are discussing the possible <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/liudy-trampa-letiat-u-kyiv-z-taiemnoiu-misiieiu-iaki-umovy-pryvezut-zelenskomu\/\">arrival of Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, who represent Donald Trump&#8217;s entourage, to the capital<\/a> . The trip may take place in the coming weeks, but its feasibility depends on the parties&#8217; willingness to make concessions. Thus, diplomat Konstantin Yeliseyev warned on &#8220;Pryamy&#8221; that the logic of &#8220;business diplomacy&#8221; guided by these individuals is often based on false trust in Russian proposals.<\/p>\n<p> Instead, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced that there is a certain time period for negotiations with the Russian Federation on the end of hostilities. According to the head of state, this period will last <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/myrni-perehovory-z-rf-iaki-shansy-zavershyty-viynu-do-zymy\/\">until the beginning of winter 2026<\/a> .<\/p>\n<p> At the same time, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio previously reported that trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia to end the war <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/ssha-pryzupynyly-trystoronni-myrni-perehovory-z-ukrainoiu-ta-rf-prychyny\/\">are currently &#8220;on hold.&#8221;<\/a> Washington allows them to resume if the talks are productive.<\/p>\n<p> However, the head of the Presidential Office, Kirill Budanov, recently stated that <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/budanov-zaiavyv-shcho-perehovory-z-rosiieiu-tryvaiut\/\">the negotiation process between Ukraine and Russia has not reached a dead end<\/a> . Despite the pause at the highest level, contacts between the parties continue.<\/p>\n<p> Meanwhile, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that <a href=\"https:\/\/prm.ua\/u-kremli-zrobyly-novu-zaiavu-shchodo-zavershennia-viyny-v-ukraini\/\">the war against Ukraine could allegedly end &#8220;by the end of the day&#8221;<\/a> if Kyiv agrees to fulfill Moscow&#8217;s demands and withdraw troops from the territories occupied by Russia.<\/p>\n<p> Also follow <strong>\u201cPryamim\u201d<\/strong> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Facebook<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/prm_ua\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">X<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+rtV4dxYu2_cyNjVi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Telegram<\/a> , and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/pryamiy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Instagram.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The end of the war depends solely on the Kremlin&#8217;s position, so hopes for quick US mediation currently have no real basis due to the lack of tools to put pressure on Moscow. Therefore, Ukrainians should prepare for a long confrontation and constant shelling. This opinion was expressed by Ukrainian journalist and publicist Vitaliy Portnikov [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":1391351,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76871,76872,76874],"class_list":["post-1400928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-2","category-news-feed","category-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1400928","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/57"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1400928"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1400928\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1391351"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1400928"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prm.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1400928"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}