A springboard for blackmail: why is Putin transferring “Oreshnik” to Belarus?

The Russian Federation has turned the territory of Belarus into a springboard for intimidating European states with new nuclear threats, so the likely deployment of the Oreshnik missile system is part of the Kremlin’s information strategy to put pressure on Western politicians.

This opinion was expressed on the air of the “Pryamiy” TV channel by aviation expert Konstantin Kryvolap, analyzing the statements of the President of Ukraine regarding Minsk’s increasing military dependence on Moscow.

“There won’t be much difference whether “Oreshnik” will be in Belarus or in the Smolensk province. But there needs to be an informational reason to talk about it, to make Europeans think there,” the specialist noted.

According to Kryvolap, the deployment of weapons on Belarusian territory creates deliberate political uncertainty for the West. This makes partners hesitate about who to address their retaliatory steps to – directly to the Kremlin or to the leadership in Minsk. Therefore, such actions are part of an information strategy to inflame tensions in the region, the aviation expert is convinced.

In addition, the studio guest believes that the industrial capacities of the neighboring country are currently fully engaged in meeting the needs of the Russian army, and the use of Belarusian trade channels allows the aggressor to purchase components for the production of weapons, which creates long-term risks for the security of all of Europe.

Earlier, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that the Russian Federation has turned the territory of Belarus into a key hub for waging war against Ukraine and intimidating Western allies. According to the head of state, Moscow not only launches attack drones from there, but also uses the country as a demonstration site for the latest missile systems, which threatens the security of the entire continent.

Meanwhile, NATO plans to create a robotic de-escalation zone on the border with Russia and Belarus over the next two years. The project involves strengthening defenses and accumulating additional weapons stocks in the countries of the Alliance’s eastern flank.

By the way, today Russia has only 3-4 medium-range ballistic missiles of the Oreshnik type. Moscow plans to launch this weapon into mass production as early as 2026. According to the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine, at the beginning of the year Russia deliberately used this missile near NATO borders in order to intimidate Western partners and deter assistance to Ukraine.

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