Forced mobilization will not save the Russian army – ISW

A new wave of forced mobilization in Russia is unlikely to help the Kremlin improve the situation at the front and may further worsen the condition of the Russian army.

This is stated in a report by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Analysts note that Russia is facing increasing personnel problems, as well as difficulties with transferring troops and securing the front.

ISW noted that the Kremlin has to simultaneously compensate for large losses in the war, form new drone units, and strengthen the protection of rear areas from attacks by Ukrainian drones.

Against this background, the Russian authorities have begun to more actively recruit students and women into the military, in particular to work in air defense units and drone systems.

At the same time, the rate of recruitment of contract soldiers in the Russian Federation continues to fall, even despite the increase in cash payments.

Analysts point out that the Russian army already has serious problems with training personnel and drone operators. Mass mobilization can only exacerbate these difficulties and hit the combat capability of the troops.

ISW also notes that Ukrainian drone strikes are increasingly making it more difficult for the Russian Federation to transfer forces, supply supplies, and maintain positions on the front.

Separately, the Institute drew attention to the decline in the effectiveness of the Russian Rubicon Unmanned Systems Center, which previously helped the Russian army advance at the front.

Earlier, it was reported that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that Russia is preparing additional mobilization to increase the occupation group in Ukraine.

As a reminder, Brigadier General Andriy Biletsky stated that the next six months could be a turning point in the war against Russia.