IMF worsens forecast for Ukraine’s debt burden
МВФ
The International Monetary Fund has updated its forecast for Ukraine’s public debt level, expecting it to reach 108.6% of GDP by the end of 2025 — slightly less than expected in the April forecast (110%).
This is reported in the Financial Monitor report, presented by the Director of the IMF’s Financial Department, Victor Gaspard, during a presentation in Washington, Ukrinform reports .
According to updated estimates, Ukraine’s debt burden will exceed 100% of GDP for the first time this year, indicating the highest level in the entire history of independence.
In 2026, according to the Fund’s forecasts, the indicator will continue to grow, reaching 110.4% of GDP. At the same time, a gradual reduction in debt is expected in the medium term:
- in 2027 – up to 106.4%,
- in 2028 — 102.9%,
- in 2029 — 98.3%,
- and by 2030 – 94.1% of GDP.
Thus, the IMF predicts that after the peak load, Ukraine will gradually stabilize its debt level thanks to the expected economic recovery and support from international partners.
Recall that the IMF predicted the population of Ukraine in the event of an end to the war .
It was also previously reported that the International Monetary Fund believes that Ukraine will need $10–20 billion more in financing by 2027 than the government currently anticipates .
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