Narva in three days: is Estonia ready for a Russian invasion?

Moscow is considering scenarios for a quick occupation of the Baltic states, taking advantage of the slowness of NATO bureaucratic procedures. The aggressor could use hybrid attacks on energy and communications to create chaos without a direct military invasion in the first stage.

This opinion was expressed on the air of “Pryamoy” by Yehor Brailyan, associate professor at Luhansk Taras Shevchenko National University.

According to him, special attention is paid to provocations in border areas, in particular in Narva.

“Russia could already take over Estonia there in a matter of days,” the analyst warned, but he doubted that the allies would have time to reach a consensus on a response before the territory was occupied.

According to Brailian, the Russian strategy is synchronized with China’s intentions regarding Taiwan, which are planned for 2027. Putin seeks to deepen global chaos in order to restore lost political influence, the studio guest is convinced.

Instead, Estonia counters these threats with a system of territorial defense, where the male population is integrated into paramilitary structures, acting as a trained reserve, added Yegor Brailyan.

Bild previously reported that Russia has stepped up its propaganda campaign to create a separate republic in Estonia . It said that this development could indicate that the Kremlin is preparing to attack the country.

It is worth noting that Narva is a border city with a population of 50,000 people. About 90% of them are Russian-speaking. At the same time, according to Estonian intelligence, in 2025 the Russian Federation increased its ammunition production, which means preparations for a new offensive operation outside Ukraine.

In addition, according to the Center for Countering Disinformation, Russia uses diplomatic facilities in Vienna to conduct radio reconnaissance . In particular, at least eight antennas are installed on the roof of the Russian embassy, one of which can intercept signals not intended for the Russian side.

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