The parliamentary election campaign has started in Hungary: how sociologists assess the chances of Obrán and Magyar

Hungary’s parliamentary election campaign has begun ahead of the April 12 vote between Prime Minister Viktor Orban and opposition politician Peter Magyar. Opinion polls show a close race between the ruling Fidesz party and the opposition Tisza party.

This is reported by Euronews .

It is noted that parliamentary elections in Hungary are scheduled for April 12. Viktor Orban and Peter Magyar are running for the post of prime minister. According to various polls, both the ruling Fidesz party and the opposition Tisza party could win.

Each candidate must collect at least 500 signatures and submit them to the Hungarian Election Commission by March 6. Any activity that may influence voters, including posting posters, political advertising, personal meetings, and rallies, is considered part of the election campaign.

Sociological organizations close to Viktor Orbán, in particular Nézőpont, report that Fidesz could receive 46%, while Tisza could receive 40%.

At the same time, independent sociological services record a 7 percentage point advantage of “Tysa” over “Fidesz” among the entire population eligible to vote.

Journalists emphasize that the results of public opinion polls should be treated with caution for now, and not only because they have a huge spread and electoral preferences can change significantly in the remaining 50 days. Also of great importance is how the popularity of parties will be converted into votes on April 12 and how these votes will turn into seats in parliament.

“The latter will be determined by the Hungarian electoral system. According to experts, in the current system, the favorable structure of electoral districts will give Fidesz an additional 2-3 percent of the result according to the lists, so it may happen that Tisza, even having gained more votes in its support, will receive fewer seats in parliament than Fidesz. In addition, the polls do not take into account the votes of voters outside the country, which will almost certainly improve the result of the current ruling party,” the article says.

Recall that in January, Hungarian President Tamás Sulók announced that parliamentary elections would be held in the country in a few months — for current Prime Minister Viktor Orban, this would be “the most difficult battle for power.”

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