The West changed its assessment of the war in favor of Ukraine: the main reasons for the weakening of Russia’s positions

The West is changing its assessment of Russia’s war against Ukraine, and Moscow’s position no longer looks as strong as it once did. Russia is facing both military and economic difficulties, while Ukraine is strengthening its capabilities.

This is reported by the Financial Times .

It is noted that after the start of the full-scale invasion, Ukraine was often perceived as being in a weaker position due to Russia’s resource advantage. However, during 2026, this assessment began to change.

According to the publication, Russia is weakening both on the battlefield and economically. In particular, Ukraine continues to develop military technologies, including drones and counter-drones. The publication also draws attention to the growing demand for Ukrainian technological solutions from US allies in the Middle East.

Ukraine is increasing its ability to strike targets in Russia. According to the publication, attacks on oil refineries have limited Russia’s export capabilities, and strikes on energy infrastructure are putting increasing pressure on the Russian economy.

At the same time, the publication writes, Russia is approaching the limits of its economic capabilities. Inflation, which can exceed official figures, indicates a shortage of resources, and civilian industries are increasingly difficult to operate as state resources are concentrated on waging war. The Russian budget deficit is growing, economic growth has slowed, and payments to dead and wounded soldiers are already having a significant impact on the country’s economy.

The publication also refers to the report of the Kiel Institute “Endgame”, which states that Moscow’s ability to maintain the current model of financing the war is gradually being exhausted. The situation is also affected by sanctions, Europe’s fight against the Russian “shadow fleet” and restrictions on the use of export revenues for the purchase of military goods.

At the same time, it is emphasized that the Ukrainian economy, despite constant Russian attacks, has partially compensated for the decline in production after 2022. Further economic growth, increased tax revenues, and improved business expectations are expected.

According to the publication, Europe is also demonstrating its willingness to compensate for the reduction in American support. In particular, the 90 billion euro loan agreed by the European Union is already starting to arrive, and part of the funds are being directed to the development of Ukrainian defense production.

The shift in war assessments coincides with a real weakening of Russia’s capabilities. According to the publication, this opens up an opportunity for Ukraine’s allies to increase support for Kyiv, strengthen sanctions pressure, counteract circumvention of restrictions, and use frozen Russian assets as a down payment on future reparations.

We will remind that the advisor to the Minister of Defense of Ukraine, Serhiy “Flash” Beskrestnov, stated that Russia has the resources for a long war and will continue massive attacks with drones and missiles . In his opinion, one of the factors that can accelerate the end of the war is the information influence on the population of the Russian Federation.

Previously, the US State Department expressed the opinion that Ukraine currently has an advantage in the war against Russia and is changing the course of hostilities in its favor.

The previous day, the UN Security Council held an open briefing on Russia’s war against Ukraine . The meeting participants emphasized that humanitarian, human, and cultural losses continue to grow, and that a ceasefire and intensified diplomatic efforts are needed to end the war.

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