Three Kremlin scenarios: how Russia plans to end the war in Ukraine
фотоколаж: facebook Служба зовнішньої розвідки України
The Kremlin is likely considering at least three scenarios for ending the war in Ukraine, including a freeze on hostilities.
This was stated by the head of the Center for Countering Disinformation of the National Security and Defense Council, Andriy Kovalenko.
According to him, according to one of the scenarios, the Russian Federation plans to continue the war at least until 2028. In particular, the enemy hopes for the success of this year’s spring-summer campaign.
At the same time, Kovalenko is convinced that the occupiers will not be able to wage war for another two years without mobilization in the future.
The second scenario involves a gradual ceasefire and freezing of the war. Russian propaganda is already preparing the informational basis for this, forming a narrative that Putin was poorly informed about the situation on the front, and the war has reached a stalemate due to the lies of the generals.
The third scenario is the continuation of hostilities in Ukraine and the parallel conduct of a hybrid war against NATO members closer to 2028.
The latest developments may foresee aggressive actions against the Baltic states. As the head of the Central Military District noted, the Kremlin is promoting a bill to use the Russian army in other states to protect Russians.
He added that in the case of the Baltic countries, the Kremlin may use drone attacks and sabotage and reconnaissance groups of up to 20 people to penetrate the territory of other states and conduct operations there.
“Of course, these are only individual plans that may be far from real circumstances both on the battlefield and in geopolitics,” Kovalenko concluded.
Earlier, the Russian Defense Ministry published a list of enterprises located in Europe that allegedly produce and supply drones to Ukraine, and threatened countries with “unforeseen consequences” for providing assistance.
As it became known, a propaganda campaign has been intensified in Russia regarding the creation of the “Narva People’s Republic,” which may indicate that the Kremlin is preparing to attack Estonia.
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