Trump faces a dilemma: how to emerge victorious in a war with Iran

Despite the high effectiveness of strikes on Iran, the political situation remains extremely unstable, and US President Donald Trump is faced with a difficult strategic choice.

Former ambassador to the US and France Oleg Shamshur analyzed the course of the US and Israeli military operation, which has been going on for the third week, on the air of “Pryamoy”.

“In fact, the situation will not look better, but even more dangerous for both the United States and the region as a whole,” the diplomat predicts, commenting on the possibility of preserving the current Iranian regime.

According to the guest, the White House may try to declare success and withdraw from the war, but this will only strengthen Tehran’s determination to obtain nuclear status. The diplomat emphasizes that the Iranian authorities prepared for the attacks better than expected, using tactics to destabilize the global economy.

Moreover, sociological data indicate that Americans themselves began to feel less safe after the start of massive attacks, – noted Oleg Shamshur.

Recall that attacks on energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf have sharply increased oil and gas prices and could trigger a worst-case scenario for the global fuel market . Bloomberg analysts warn that the escalation of the conflict has already changed the balance in the market. Brent oil has risen sharply: on March 18, it exceeded $ 111 per barrel for the first time, and the next day it approached $ 119.

As reported, the world is approaching a large-scale gas crisis due to the shutdown of key facilities in Qatar and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This concerns the shutdown of the world’s largest liquefied natural gas plant, Ras Laffan, which stopped operating after attacks by Iranian drones.

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