Trump’s approval rating falls, but Democrats’ chances of winning the Senate increase
Фото з відкритих джерел
The level of negative attitude of Americans towards US President Donald Trump continues to grow. The difference between positive and negative assessments of his activities has reached minus 19.8 percentage points. At the same time, the Polymarket platform estimates the Democrats’ chances of winning the Senate elections at 67%.
This is evidenced by data from RealClearPolitics and the Polymarket forecasting platform.
According to the latest RealClearPolitics data, 38.2% of Americans have a favorable view of Trump, while 58% have an unfavorable view. The difference is 19.8 percentage points in favor of negative assessments. This is the president’s worst performance during his second term.
For comparison, four years ago, during the same period of Joe Biden’s presidency, this figure was minus 8.5 percentage points.
Amidst Trump’s falling approval ratings, the Democratic Party’s chances of winning the US Senate elections in November 2026 are also increasing.
According to Polymarket, market participants currently estimate the probability of a Democratic victory at 67%, while the Republicans have a 34% chance.
At the same time, these figures reflect the assessments of forecast market participants, not the results of a sociological survey.