Policy

Zelensky, Zaluzhny, and Poroshenko among the top three leaders of the upcoming presidential elections — poll

Zelensky, Zaluzhny, and Poroshenko among the top three leaders of the upcoming presidential elections — poll

Sociologists have published the results of a new survey on the socio-political mood of Ukrainians as of October 2026. The researchers found out who Ukrainians trust the most, whom they are ready to support in a hypothetical presidential election, as well as how they assess negotiations with Russia, territorial concessions, and the prospects for the coming winter.

This is reported by the sociological group “Rating”.

Trust in politicians

The highest level of trust among Ukrainian political and military figures is held by former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valeriy Zaluzhny — he is trusted by 64% of respondents. Of these, 30% trust him completely, and 34% trust him somewhat.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is trusted by 53% of respondents: 27% — completely, 26% — somewhat. The same overall trust indicator is held by the head of the State Duma, Kyrylo Budanov — 53% (23% and 30%, respectively).

The highest level of distrust was recorded for Petro Poroshenko – 70% of those surveyed do not trust him. Of these, 22% rather do not trust him, and 48% do not trust him at all.

If the presidential election were held in the near future, among those who have decided on a choice, the votes would be distributed as follows:

    • Volodymyr Zelenskyy — 26.7%;
    • Valeriy Zaluzhny — 23.6%;
    • Petro Poroshenko — 8.9%;
    • Mykhailo Fedorov — 8.8%;
    • Kirill Budanov — 7.8%;
    • Andriy Biletskyi — 6.3%;
    • Dmytro Razumkov — 6%.

What Ukrainians think about the end of the war

Assessing the situation on the front, 62% of respondents believe that neither side is currently winning. Another 26% are convinced that Ukraine has the upper hand, and 6% believe that Russia is winning.

Half of those surveyed — 50% — agree with the statement that peace is more important than any victory. At the same time, 41% believe victory is more important than any peace.

The majority of Ukrainians also support a negotiated path to ending the war. In particular, 57% support a cessation of hostilities and finding a compromise through negotiations.

At the same time, 57% believe that the real way to end the war is to find a solution with the participation of international mediators. Another 26% see direct negotiations with Russia as this way. Only 9% support a complete refusal from negotiations and continuing the fight until all Ukrainian territories are liberated.

Regarding territorial concessions, 56% are ready to allow them only under the condition of real security guarantees from the US and European countries, including funding for the Ukrainian army and the supply of weapons. 35% of respondents are against any territorial concessions, and 3% are ready to agree to them under any conditions.

At the same time, 68% of Ukrainians believe that the final decision on territorial concessions in exchange for peace should be made by the people in a referendum. 17% give this right to the president, and 9% to the Verkhovna Rada.

What kind of winter do Ukrainians expect?

Most respondents are pessimistic about the prospects for the winter period.

In particular, 63% expect the situation in the energy sector to worsen. Among them, 39% predict a rather severe deterioration, and 24% – a significant one.

71% of respondents expect the economy to deteriorate. Overall, 55% predict negative changes across the country.

At the same time, expectations regarding the situation at the front differ somewhat. 33% of respondents hope for its improvement, 30% do not expect any changes, and 22% predict deterioration.

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