“A bad peace cannot be imposed”: Canada assessed possible scenarios for the end of the war in Ukraine
Фото: Reporters
Former Deputy Chief of the Canadian Defence Staff Mark Norman has outlined three possible options for ending the war in Ukraine. In his opinion, a truce or compromise scenario remains the most likely. He stressed that no solution should be imposed on Ukraine from the outside.
He said this in an interview with Ukrinform .
Mark Norman shared his analytical assessment of how a full-scale war in Ukraine could end. In his opinion, there are three possible scenarios for the development of events – each of them has its own risks, probabilities and consequences.
Expulsion of Russia from all of Ukraine. The first scenario is a complete victory for Ukraine, which involves the liberation of all occupied territories. Norman noted that this option is desirable, but at the same time the least likely, given the complexity of implementation, the power of the Russian army, and the protracted nature of the conflict.
Russia’s complete or partial victory. The second scenario is Russia’s complete or partial success in seizing Ukrainian territories. But the general also considers this option unlikely, given the resilience of Ukrainian forces, the scale of international support, and Russia’s failures in many areas.
Truce or agreements with compromises. According to Norman, the most likely option is a third option – a truce or reaching agreements that may include certain concessions, including on the temporary status of certain territories. He warned that such decisions should not be the result of external pressure.
“Ukraine did not start this war, so it would be unfair to force it to accept a bad peace just so someone can say the problem is solved,” Mark Norman emphasized.
The general also expressed admiration for the resilience of Ukrainian soldiers and the rapid pace of implementation of new military technologies. According to him, Ukraine is changing the world’s perception of modern warfare.
“This demonstrates that large traditional armies are vulnerable to flexible and asymmetric forces. Ukraine has shown an effective balance between classic tank forces and modern technologies, including drones. This war is a school of the future for military strategy,” Norman emphasized.
He also cautioned against jumping to conclusions, noting that a combination of traditional and innovative approaches remains key to effective defense in modern conflicts.
Earlier, US President Donald Trump informed European leaders of his intention to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin as early as next week , and then to organize a trilateral meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. This could be the first direct dialogue of this format since the start of the full-scale war.
It is worth adding that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that after a conversation with Donald Trump, Russia is demonstrating greater readiness for a ceasefire . At the same time, he warned that the Kremlin should not be allowed to deceive either Ukraine or the United States. The head of state also noted the successes of the Ukrainian army in Kursk, which forced Moscow to ask for help from the DPRK.
By the way, US President Donald Trump announced progress in negotiations with Russia to end the war in Ukraine . According to him, his special envoy Steve Witkoff met with Vladimir Putin, after which consultations with European allies began.
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