Thoughts

Kyiv Will Endure — But at What Cost This Winter?

Kyiv Will Endure — But at What Cost This Winter?

Residents covered with blankets to warm up themselves stand wait next to their apartment building damaged during an overnight Russian drone strike, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine October 26, 2025. REUTERS/Valentyn Ogirenko

Source: Author’s Telegram channel

Officials keep repeating the same line: “Kyiv residents, brace yourselves — this winter will be the hardest yet.” But beyond these ritual warnings, there is silence. No concrete plans, no clear answers — only the echo of familiar phrases drifting through a city already running on endurance.

 

What awaits us this winter — for now?
I repeat: for now, because the situation changes by the day. The Russians attack, the authorities repair, the Russians attack again.

Indoor temperatures are expected to hover between +5 and +10°C, depending on the weather. Any attempt to heat with electricity will overload the grids, triggering rolling blackouts every few hours.

What do the Russians want? Naturally, they don’t care whether we freeze or sit in darkness — their goal is far simpler: to exhaust, to demoralize, to make survival itself feel like defeat.

The enemy aims to break the capital’s population, to provoke riots and chaos, and coerce the authorities into accepting their terms. Will they succeed? I do not know.

I can only hope that people have the wisdom to see what is happening and to recognize who is to blame.

What to expect:

  • There will be no widespread hunger.

  • Fuel supplies will be available.

  • Water supplies should hold.

  • The city administration will do its utmost to keep hospitals, kindergartens, and other critical infrastructure running.

  • There will be heating centers and similar support points.

  • Mobile networks and the internet are expected to remain operational.

 

What I can advise:

  • Buy generators and extension cords, either with your neighbors or individually, and keep a small supply of fuel on hand.

  • Recommendations to leave Kyiv for the winter are, frankly, somewhat impractical. Most people have nowhere to go. But if you have a dacha with a stove or relatives in the countryside, it’s worth considering a backup plan.

  • Consider autonomous diesel heaters, but remember that they require proper venting to the outside.

Of course, we will survive — but it will be difficult. I could write much more about various aspects of infrastructure, but I cannot, because the enemy is also reading.

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