Possible scenarios for Putin’s attack on NATO countries have emerged: what means is the Kremlin preparing?

The journalists described several possible scenarios in which Russia could try to test NATO’s readiness for confrontation. These include sabotage of underwater infrastructure, covert operations, the seizure of strategic territories, and an offensive in the Suwalki Corridor area.

This is reported by Bild .

Experts say a potential Russian attack on NATO may not begin with a full-scale invasion of Europe. Possible options include covert operations, sabotage, and limited military action that could pose difficult decisions for the Alliance.

One possible scenario is subsea sabotage. Russia has specialized units and submarines capable of operating near critical infrastructure. Potential targets could include communications and power cables, pipelines, and offshore facilities.

Another scenario is the so-called “Narva trap.” This involves a possible covert operation in the Estonian city of Narva on the border with Russia involving unmarked armed men, provoking riots and supporting separatist sentiments. In this case, Moscow could deny its involvement.

Also being considered is the possibility of attempting to establish control over the Swedish island of Gotland or the Finnish Åland Islands. In such a scenario, Russia could try to deploy air and anti-ship defense systems there, which would complicate NATO’s reinforcement of forces in the Baltic region.

A separate potential hotbed of crisis is Svalbard, which belongs to Norway. Russia has its own settlement there, Barentsburg, and a possible reason for escalation could be accusations of violating international agreements or the need to protect Russian citizens.

Another scenario involves an offensive by Russian troops from Belarus towards Kaliningrad in order to cut off the Baltic countries’ land connection with other NATO territory. This is the Suwalki Corridor, a narrow section between Belarus and the Russian Kaliningrad region.

In the event of a rapid breakthrough, Russia could try to create a new situation before large-scale NATO reinforcements arrive. The Suwalki Corridor has therefore remained one of the key scenarios for a possible direct conflict between Russia and NATO for years.

Previously, NATO intelligence sources have warned that Russia may resort to military provocations in the Baltic states or Poland if it senses the approach of the front to Moscow and St. Petersburg. According to Western sources, this is not a full-scale attack, but a possible hybrid attack.

At the same time, a number of European countries have agreed to develop a joint plan for evacuating populations across land borders in the event of war. Representatives of 10 countries — Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway, Poland, Germany and Sweden — have signed an agreement on the protection of civilians in the Baltic Sea region and Northern Europe.

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